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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels open1 closedCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ $216 70%↓ $208 66%↑ $224 37%↓ $200 30%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ $2802%—1%none
↑ $2723%+0.4 pts1%none
↑ $2644%−0.2 pts2%0 · 2
↑ $2563%−1.0 pts4%0 · 1
↑ $2484%−2.0 pts6%0 · 1
↑ $2407%−7.0 pts12%none
↑ $23212%−25.5 pts30%none
↑ $22437%−45.5 pts70%0 · 1
↑ $21670%−2.0 pts65%none
↓ $20866%+41.5 pts30%0 · 3
↓ $20030%+21.7 pts24%0 · 2
↓ $1844%+2.6 pts3%none
↓ $1762%+0.6 pts2%none
↓ $1684%+2.4 pts1%none
1 closed level
↓ $21698%+43.5 pts65%—

14 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $2802%1%−1
↑ $2723%1%−2
↑ $2644%2%−2
↑ $2563%4%+1
↑ $2484%6%+2
↑ $2407%12%+5
+8 more options

AI analysts' average · ↓ $176

2%

level with the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

↓ $208: AI 30% vs market 66%, 36 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 5h
    NVIDIA Corp Stock (NVDA) Moved Down by 3.95% on Oct 22: What Signal Does It Send?
    TradingKey
  • 5h
    Nvidia Unveils AI Factory Innovations at GTC Berlin, Ticker NVDA Sees Mixed Guru and Insider Activity
    GuruFocus
  • 5h
    RTX 5090 price reaches as much as five figures, but stock slowly returns after Nvidia denies discontinuation rumors
    PC Guide
  • 5h
    Nvidia continues impressive path at GTC Berlin, BNP Paribas says (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 5h
    NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Remains a Key AI Growth Driver Despite Benchmark Headwinds
    Yahoo Finance
  • 6h
    A Quick Look at Today's Ratings for NVIDIA(NVDA.US), With a Forecast Between $300 to $315
    Moomoo
  • 7h
    Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Says AI Cloud Demand Is “Off the Charts,” So Why Are CRWV and NBIS Stocks Falling?
    TipRanks
  • 7h
    Nvidia’s Jensen Huang Reveals AI Data Center Quick-Fix. These Stocks Are Winners.
    Barron's
  • 7h
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Could Be 21% Undervalued Following Its DSX POD Launch
    Simply Wall Street
  • 7h
    Super Micro Unveils New NVIDIA AI Rack After Stock Jumps Nearly 10%
    Yahoo Finance
  • 8h
    Nvidia, Intel among chip stocks to benefit as open-weight models prove expensive: BofA (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 8h
    Nvidia in talks to invest in Firmus after failed IPO - report
    Data Center Dynamics
  • 8h
    LG Innotek is Collaborating with NVIDIA, Taking One Step Closer to Securing a Leading Position in the Physical AI Market
    Yahoo Finance
  • 9h
    Nvidia's Huang says scarce capital is holding back neocloud growth (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 9h
    Market Decline: Nvidia (NVDA), Intel (INTC), and AMD (AMD) Stocks Drop
    GuruFocus
  • 10h
    Nvidia Stock Falls in a Case of Bad Timing Over Another Potential AI Investment
    Barron's
  • 11h
    Nvidia Has 80% of Its Portfolio Invested in 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA Shares Purchased by Saudi Central Bank
    MarketBeat
  • 11h
    Market Chatter: Nvidia, Tesla to Invest $2.80 Billion in Samsung Electro-Mechanics
    Yahoo Finance
  • 12h
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Receives Buy Rating from Goldman Sachs with $300 T
    GuruFocus
  • 12h
    Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Meta, Tesla, Nvidia, Micron and Alphabet
    Yahoo Finance
  • 12h
    NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA Stock Bought by Henrickson Nauta Wealth Advisors Inc.
    MarketBeat
  • 12h
    Does Super Micro's Big Quarter Make Nvidia Stock a Buy?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 14h
    NVDA Stock Rebounds Above $220 as Amazon Buys Billions in Nvidia Chips while Electricity Constraint Threaten Returns
    FXLeaders
  • 20h
    Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy on Nvidia (NVDA) After CEO's GTC Key
    GuruFocus
  • 21h
    Jensen Huang Says the Next Wave of AI Is Physical. Forget Nvidia and Tesla, I’d Bet on These 2 Mid-Cap Stocks Instead.
    Barchart.com
  • 21h
    HPE Stocks Rise 3.2% as Nvidia Agentic AI Stack Expands
    Yahoo Finance
  • 22h
    Nvidia (NVDA) Unveils Strategic Supply Chain Partnerships and AI Platform at GTC Berlin
    GuruFocus
  • 22h
    SpaceX, Anthropic and Nvidia Help Snap Tech Stocks Out of Their Recent Malaise
    WSJ
  • 23h
    $4,000 in These 4 Non-Nvidia Chip Stocks Could Be Worth This Much by 2030
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    The Cheapest NVIDIA Has Looked All Month: What the Price Target Says
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    AMD vs. Nvidia. 1 Metric Proves Which Is the Best Stock.
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Leverages AI Growth to Expand Its Autonomous Driving Opportunity
    Yahoo Finance
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↓ $20830 · 3
↑ $26420 · 2
↓ $20020 · 2
↑ $25610 · 1
↑ $24810 · 1
↑ $22410 · 1

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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↓ $176 · Buy YesOption 13 of 14

Polymarket price · live

Yes4¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · ↓ $176

  • News30 today · latest 5h
  • AI analysts2% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.