How do I trade on "Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 53m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sandra Hüller 63%Virginie Efira 48%Renate Reinsve 44%Ruth Madeley 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Julianne Moore95%−0.5 pts90%none

Inde Navarrette84%+7.5 pts61%none

Olivia Wilde71%+22.5 pts65%1 · 0

Sandra Hüller63%+4.5 pts58%none

Virginie Efira48%−3.0 pts26%1 · 0

Renate Reinsve44%−4.0 pts80%none

Ruth Madeley44%+4.0 pts22%none

Rosalind Eleazar13%−1.5 pts20%none

Sophie Okonedo11%−1.2 pts8%none

Emily Blunt10%+1.9 pts18%none

Mikey Madison9%+1.0 pts10%0 · 1

Natalie Portman7%+0.2 pts4%0 · 1

Daisy Edgar-Jones6%+1.3 pts4%none

Cynthia Erivo6%—9%none

Michelle Williams6%−0.2 pts16%0 · 1

15 options trading, by chance. +11 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 53m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Julianne Moore95%90%−5

Inde Navarrette84%61%−23

Olivia Wilde71%65%−6

Sandra Hüller63%58%−5

Virginie Efira48%26%−22

Renate Reinsve44%80%+36

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Olivia Wilde

65%

6 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Renate Reinsve: AI 80% vs market 44%, 36 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 53m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Olivia Wilde11 · 0

Virginie Efira11 · 0

Mikey Madison10 · 1

Natalie Portman10 · 1

Michelle Williams10 · 1

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN15 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 53m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sandra Hüller 63%Virginie Efira 48%Renate Reinsve 44%Ruth Madeley 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Julianne Moore95%−0.5 pts90%none

Inde Navarrette84%+7.5 pts61%none

Olivia Wilde71%+22.5 pts65%1 · 0

Sandra Hüller63%+4.5 pts58%none

Virginie Efira48%−3.0 pts26%1 · 0

Renate Reinsve44%−4.0 pts80%none

Ruth Madeley44%+4.0 pts22%none

Rosalind Eleazar13%−1.5 pts20%none

Sophie Okonedo11%−1.2 pts8%none

Emily Blunt10%+1.9 pts18%none

Mikey Madison9%+1.0 pts10%0 · 1

Natalie Portman7%+0.2 pts4%0 · 1

Daisy Edgar-Jones6%+1.3 pts4%none

Cynthia Erivo6%—9%none

Michelle Williams6%−0.2 pts16%0 · 1

15 options trading, by chance. +11 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 53m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Julianne Moore95%90%−5

Inde Navarrette84%61%−23

Olivia Wilde71%65%−6

Sandra Hüller63%58%−5

Virginie Efira48%26%−22

Renate Reinsve44%80%+36

+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Olivia Wilde

65%

6 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Renate Reinsve: AI 80% vs market 44%, 36 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 53m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Olivia Wilde11 · 0

Virginie Efira11 · 0

Mikey Madison10 · 1

Natalie Portman10 · 1

Michelle Williams10 · 1

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts