How do I trade on "Will Pau Cubarsi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN26 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 26 options

Lamine Yamal 69%Kylian Mbappé 14%Harry Kane 7%Rodri 6%

26 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Lamine Yamal69%+5.0 pts51%none

Kylian Mbappé14%−2.0 pts22%1 · 0

Harry Kane7%−2.4 pts10%none

Rodri6%+1.9 pts10%none

Lionel Messi5%−1.4 pts7%none

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3%−1.1 pts2%—

Fabian Ruiz<1%−1.6 pts3%none

Pau Cubarsi————

Erling Haaland————

Jude Bellingham————

Vinícius Júnior————

Vitinha————

Achraf Hakimi————

Bruno Fernandes————

Luis Diaz————

Lautaro Martinez————

Marc Cucurella————

Gabriel Magalhães————

Sadio Mané————

Marquinhos————

Nuno Mendes————

João Neves————

Julián Quiñones————

William Saliba————

Ferran Torres————

Dayot Upamecano————

26 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Lamine Yamal69%51%−18

Kylian Mbappé14%22%+8

Harry Kane7%10%+3

Rodri6%10%+4

Lionel Messi5%7%+2

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3%2%−1

+20 more options

AI analysts' average · Pau Cubarsi

—

Biggest gap

Lamine Yamal: AI 51% vs market 69%, 18 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Kylian Mbappé11 · 0

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 26 options

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN26 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 26 options

Lamine Yamal 69%Kylian Mbappé 14%Harry Kane 7%Rodri 6%

26 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Lamine Yamal69%+5.0 pts51%none

Kylian Mbappé14%−2.0 pts22%1 · 0

Harry Kane7%−2.4 pts10%none

Rodri6%+1.9 pts10%none

Lionel Messi5%−1.4 pts7%none

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3%−1.1 pts2%—

Fabian Ruiz<1%−1.6 pts3%none

Pau Cubarsi————

Erling Haaland————

Jude Bellingham————

Vinícius Júnior————

Vitinha————

Achraf Hakimi————

Bruno Fernandes————

Luis Diaz————

Lautaro Martinez————

Marc Cucurella————

Gabriel Magalhães————

Sadio Mané————

Marquinhos————

Nuno Mendes————

João Neves————

Julián Quiñones————

William Saliba————

Ferran Torres————

Dayot Upamecano————

26 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Lamine Yamal69%51%−18

Kylian Mbappé14%22%+8

Harry Kane7%10%+3

Rodri6%10%+4

Lionel Messi5%7%+2

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3%2%−1

+20 more options

AI analysts' average · Pau Cubarsi

—

Biggest gap

Lamine Yamal: AI 51% vs market 69%, 18 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Kylian Mbappé11 · 0

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 26 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 26 options

Related Markets

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 26 options

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