MarketsWorld
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 options
7 40%5 6%4 <1%<4 <1%
4 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
4 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket
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The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5Yes lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No mr.ozimr.ozi: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1BiDiFakePollsBiDiFakePolls: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 mr.ozimr.ozi: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1qizhanqizhan: Tier 2, #24 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 2
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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