MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsTech

Largest Company end of October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 optionsCloses Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 9 options

NVIDIA 85%Apple 13%Alphabet <1%Microsoft <1%

9 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
NVIDIA85%−8.3 pts83%3 · 3
Apple13%+7.2 pts7%3 · 0
Alphabet<1%—2%—
Microsoft<1%—1%—
Tesla————
Saudi Aramco————
Broadcom————
Amazon————
SpaceX————

9 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
NVIDIA85%83%−2
Apple13%7%−6
Alphabet<1%2%+2
Microsoft<1%1%+1
Tesla———
Saudi Aramco———
+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Tesla

—

Biggest gap

Apple: AI 7% vs market 13%, 6 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 58m
    Watch Tesla Cuts Capex Guidance, Meta Hikes AI Spending Outlook, Announces New Stock Class
    Bloomberg.com
  • 2h
    Elon Musk touts surging Tesla demand, reveals new Cybercab expansion plans
    Fox Business
  • 2h
    Elon Musk’s endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla merger sparks insider concerns- Reuters
    Yahoo Finance Australia
  • 2h
    Tesla Logs Surge in European Monthly Sales
    WSJ
  • 3h
    Elon Musk says Tesla vehicle demand exceeding production ahead of Dallas Cybercab launch
    Fox Business
  • 3h
    EXCLUSIVE: Musk’s public endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla deal may throw a wrench in talks
    Reuters
  • 3h
    Tesla Asian supplier shares fall after mixed Q3 earnings, cautious outlook
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3h
    Bitcoin gives back its run at $85,000 as Tesla and Meta fail to calm AI nerves
    CoinDesk
  • 4h
    Futures Fall; Meta, Tesla Lead Big Earnings Late
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 5h
    Tesla’s spending on AI and robotics trails expectations, clouding outlook
    The Japan Times
  • 5h
    Tesla shares reverse course as robotics, chipmaking caution overshadows upbeat Q3
    Investing.com
  • 6h
    U.S. stock futures fall as investors weigh Tesla, Meta earnings By Investing.com
    Investing.com
  • 6h
    SpaceX and Tesla Are Joined at the Hip. A Merger Would Make It Formal.
    WSJ
  • 6h
    Why is Tesla stock falling after-hours today?
    Investing.com
  • 7h
    What Tesla (TSLA) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call
    Yahoo Finance
  • 7h
    Tesla: SpaceX, Robots, And A Valuation That Defies Gravity
    Seeking Alpha
  • 7h
    TSLA Stock Reverses After-Hours Gains As Tesla Cuts Full-Year Capex Guidance To $20B, Musk Tempers Optimus Timeline
    Yahoo Finance
  • 8h
    Tesla's Q3 profit drops as it prepares for possible merger with Musk's other public company, SpaceX
    AP News
  • 8h
    Tesla’s stock falls as Elon Musk leaves investors wanting more
    MarketWatch
  • 8h
    Tesla Q3 2026 Earnings results: in-line revenues, slight beat on EPS
    Teslarati
  • 8h
    SpaceX shares soar on possible tie-up with Tesla
    Yahoo Finance
  • 8h
    S&P 500, Nasdaq Gain, Powered By Meta, Tesla Stock — SPCX, META, TSLA, SKYD, IBM In Focus
    Yahoo Finance
  • 8h
    Earnings call transcript: Tesla beats Q3 2026 estimates as stock slips after hours
    Investing.com
  • 8h
    Tesla Earnings Beat, FSD Revenue Strong, But Stock Falls
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 9h
    Tesla's Q3 Energy-Segment Revenue Misses Estimates By A Mile
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 9h
    Tesla: Don't Fall For The SpaceX Merger Hype (NASDAQ:TSLA)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 9h
    Was Tesla’s Flying Roadster Reveal Just a Big SpaceX Marketing Stunt?
    Autoblog
  • 9h
    Tesla: One Of The Worst Quarters Ever (NASDAQ:TSLA)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 10h
    Tesla energy revenue drops 16% as it refunds customers over tariffs
    Electrek
  • 10h
    Tesla Third-Quarter Earnings Top Views as Automotive, Energy Generation Sales Decline
    Yahoo Finance
  • 10h
    Tesla posts surprise positive cash flow on lower-than-expected AI spending
    www.reuters.com
  • 11h
    Tesla blames battery supply for flat sales, but its prices keep falling
    Electrek
  • 11h
    Tesla stock gets boost after beating Q3 earnings expectations
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    SpaceX, Tesla, Meta, Nvidia, Intel, Netflix, AT&T, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
    Barron's
  • 11h
    Flying Roadsters can’t lift Tesla’s flat Q3 revenues
    The Verge
  • 11h
    Elon Musk sets lower sales target for Tesla as it explores SpaceX merger
    Financial Times
  • 11h
    Tesla reports Q3 earnings beat, positive free cash flow, and better-than-expected capex
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    Tesla cuts spending before potential SpaceX deal even as Musk bets future on AI, robots
    Reuters
  • 11h
    Tesla beats earnings projections after Musk floats SpaceX merger plan
    The Guardian
  • 15h
    Meta and Tesla bulls get confidence boost after SpaceX earnings
    CNBC
  • 15h
    Tesla beats on earnings and sales even as auto revenue declines
    CNBC
  • 15h
    Here’s How Much Tesla Stock Is Expected to Move After Earnings
    Investopedia
  • 17h
    Tesla Q3 preview: Delivery outlook, cash flow, and a dash of merger speculation on tap
    Yahoo Finance
  • 18h
    Musk backs SpaceX-Tesla merger idea as both boards form special committees
    Yahoo Finance
  • 21h
    Why is Elon Musk plotting a mega-merger of SpaceX and Tesla?
    www.bbc.com
  • 23h
    SpaceX stock jumps 10% after earnings beat and Musk hints at Tesla tie-up
    CNBC
  • 1d
    A possible SpaceX-Tesla merger? Here's what people are saying
    Reuters
  • 1d
    Space X and Tesla exploring merger, CEO Elon Musk says
    www.axios.com
  • 1d
    Musk calls Tesla-SpaceX merger a 'good idea'
    www.reuters.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX and Tesla's Terafab targets 2028 for volume chip production, Musk says
    Reuters
  • 1d
    SpaceX and Tesla boards form special committees to review merger
    TechCrunch
  • 1d
    SpaceX and Tesla have formed committees to discuss potential merger, Musk
    www.cnn.com
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX have set up committees to explore a merger
    www.businessinsider.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX stock surges after Musk says a merger with Tesla would be ‘a good idea’
    CNN
  • 1d
    Musk says SpaceX-Tesla merger is 'a good idea' as companies form deal committees
    Reuters
  • 3d
    How to Make Your Own Flying Car AI Video (Make a Tesla Roadster AI Video)
    roadster-ai.net
  • 5d
    Tesla unveils 'flying' Roadster with SpaceX thrusters [video]
    www.youtube.com
  • 5d
    Tesla unveils what it says is a flying car
    www.cnn.com
  • 5d
    Elon Musk reveals ' first flying car' at Tesla event – Tesla
    www.theguardian.com
  • 5d
    Tesla unveils Roadster by launching it off a ramp before flipping in midair
    twitter.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
NVIDIA63 · 3
Apple33 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Tesla · Buy YesOption 5 of 9

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Tesla

  • News46 today · latest 58m
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.