MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurity
MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchDeveloperStatusContact

Not affiliated with Polymarket. Information only, not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc. · Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 3h ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Dune: Part Three 69%The Black Ball 56%Werwulf 49%Michael 26%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

10 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Project Hail Mary93%+3.0 pts70%1 · 0
The Odyssey79%—82%1 · 0
Dune: Part Three69%−12.5 pts87%none
The Black Ball56%+2.5 pts—1 · 0
Werwulf49%+34.0 pts17%none
Michael26%+1.0 pts29%0 · 1
Godzilla Minus Zero23%+6.0 pts16%none
Digger13%+2.5 pts10%0 · 1
The End of Oak Street10%—7%none
The Debut6%+0.2 pts7%1 · 0

10 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Project Hail Mary93%70%−23
The Odyssey79%82%+3
Dune: Part Three69%87%+18
The Black Ball56%——
Werwulf49%17%−32
Michael26%29%+3
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · The Black Ball

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 3h
    Oscars Predictions 2027: Is ‘You Can See Everything’ the Film That Can Take Down ‘The Odyssey’?
    Variety
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Project Hail Mary11 · 0
The Odyssey11 · 0
The Black Ball11 · 0
Michael10 · 1
Digger10 · 1
The Debut11 · 0

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Sound. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Sound when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Sound. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Sound when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Related Markets

Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song for 2026?

Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Tom Holland be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Black Ball · Buy YesOption 4 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes56¢
No45¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 56¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 1¢

Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · The Black Ball

  • News1 today · latest 3h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.