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Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 2 of 5 options

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 52%Avengers: Doomsday 48%

5 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Spider-Man: Brand New Day52%−4.0 pts56%4 · 1
Avengers: Doomsday48%+5.5 pts44%0 · 4
Toy Story 5———none
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping———none
Dune: Messiah———none

5 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Spider-Man: Brand New Day52%56%+4
Avengers: Doomsday48%44%−4
Toy Story 5———
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping———
Dune: Messiah———

AI analysts' average · The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

—

Biggest gap

Spider-Man: Brand New Day: AI 56% vs market 52%, 4 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 13h
    A look at McKenna Grace’s ‘The Hunger Games’ press tour style
    Tatler Asia
  • 22h
    The coolest 'Hunger Games' collabs I've found before the new movie
    USA Today
  • 1d
    Mckenna Grace reveals how Hunger Games press tour has 'healed' her insecurities
    Female First
  • 1d
    Elsinore to The Hunger Games: 12 of the best films to watch in November
    BBC
  • 1d
    The Hunger Games Officially Returns to Theaters in 1 Month
    collider.com
  • 1d
    Smashing Pumpkins Release 'Black Stars' for 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' Soundtrack With Producer Butch Vig
    Boston's ROCK 92.9
  • 1d
    The New Hunger Games Movie Will Change How You See The Original Films
    ScreenRant
  • 2d
    'Sunrise on the Reaping' teaser explores 'Hunger Games' origin stories
    upi
  • 3d
    Mckenna Grace Is Kicking Off Her 'Hunger Games' Press Tour Looks With a Bang
    Teen Vogue
  • 3d
    ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ Red Carpet Photos: All Of Joseph Zada & Mckenna Grace’s Looks From Press Tour
    IMDb
  • 5d
    Hunger Games Director Francis Lawrence Is Taking Red Rising To The Big Screen For Paramount
    comicbookmovie.com
  • 5d
    Legendary '90s Band Releases New Song for 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' Soundtrack
    Complex
  • 5d
    The Smashing Pumpkins Release Latest ‘The Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping’ Album Track, ‘Black Stars’
    IMDb
  • 5d
    'Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping' Album: Smashing Pumpkins & More
    Deadline
  • 5d
    5-Week Box Office Forecasts: THE HUNGER GAMES: SUNRISE ON THE REAPING ($60-70M+) Hopes to Capitalize on Gen Z and Millennial Trends; Could EBENEZER Turn Into the Next Holiday Staple? – Box Office Theory
    Box Office Theory
  • 6d
    Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1, the new film by Francis Lawrence
    Sortir à Paris
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Spider-Man: Brand New Day54 · 1
Avengers: Doomsday40 · 4

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · Buy YesOption 4 of 5

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
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Before you decide · The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

  • News2 today · latest 13h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.