How do I trade on "Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Together 53%Yisrael Beiteinu 53%New Economic Party / The Reservists 46%Otzma Yehudit 39%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Yashar65%+4.5 pts60%none

Together53%—55%none

Yisrael Beiteinu53%−2.0 pts51%none

New Economic Party / The Reservists46%+1.5 pts32%none

Otzma Yehudit39%+10.0 pts30%none

Likud32%+2.0 pts35%0 · 1

RZP-Zehut32%+4.5 pts25%none

Shas30%+5.0 pts27%none

United Torah Judaism30%+2.0 pts22%none

Ra'am28%+5.0 pts13%1 · 0

Amcha Yisrael28%−1.0 pts20%none

Joint List4%−0.2 pts3%none

12 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Yashar65%60%−5

Together53%55%+2

Yisrael Beiteinu53%51%−2

New Economic Party / The Reservists46%32%−14

Otzma Yehudit39%30%−9

Likud32%35%+3

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Joint List

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Ra'am: AI 13% vs market 28%, 15 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

11h
Beyond The Ballot: How Arab Parties Could Influence Israel’s Next Government
Outlook India
14h
How Arab parties could hold critical balance of power in Israeli election
BBC
1d
Hadi: PAS, aligned Perikatan parties to take joint action over RoS notice
Malay Mail
1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
1d
Arab party leaders vow to oust Netanyahu in Oct. 27 Israeli elections
Anadolu Ajansı
2d
Israel’s political parties explained: Ra’am and the Joint List
JNS.org
3d
Israel Elections 2026: Joint List airs Gaza destruction footage in TV broadcast
The Jerusalem Post
3d
Everything you need to know: ToI’s guide to the 37 parties that Israelis can choose from
The Times of Israel
5d
Arab-led parties could decide the Israeli election, if anyone would partner with them
PBS

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Likud10 · 1

Ra'am11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Together 53%Yisrael Beiteinu 53%New Economic Party / The Reservists 46%Otzma Yehudit 39%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Yashar65%+4.5 pts60%none

Together53%—55%none

Yisrael Beiteinu53%−2.0 pts51%none

New Economic Party / The Reservists46%+1.5 pts32%none

Otzma Yehudit39%+10.0 pts30%none

Likud32%+2.0 pts35%0 · 1

RZP-Zehut32%+4.5 pts25%none

Shas30%+5.0 pts27%none

United Torah Judaism30%+2.0 pts22%none

Ra'am28%+5.0 pts13%1 · 0

Amcha Yisrael28%−1.0 pts20%none

Joint List4%−0.2 pts3%none

12 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Yashar65%60%−5

Together53%55%+2

Yisrael Beiteinu53%51%−2

New Economic Party / The Reservists46%32%−14

Otzma Yehudit39%30%−9

Likud32%35%+3

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Joint List

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Ra'am: AI 13% vs market 28%, 15 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

11h
Beyond The Ballot: How Arab Parties Could Influence Israel’s Next Government
Outlook India
14h
How Arab parties could hold critical balance of power in Israeli election
BBC
1d
Hadi: PAS, aligned Perikatan parties to take joint action over RoS notice
Malay Mail
1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
1d
Arab party leaders vow to oust Netanyahu in Oct. 27 Israeli elections
Anadolu Ajansı
2d
Israel’s political parties explained: Ra’am and the Joint List
JNS.org
3d
Israel Elections 2026: Joint List airs Gaza destruction footage in TV broadcast
The Jerusalem Post
3d
Everything you need to know: ToI’s guide to the 37 parties that Israelis can choose from
The Times of Israel
5d
Arab-led parties could decide the Israeli election, if anyone would partner with them
PBS

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Likud10 · 1

Ra'am11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria: Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News