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What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN6 options
$318K - $323K 36%$323K - $327K 27%$327K+ 18%$313K - $318K 15%
6 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
6 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<$303K2%2%0
$303K - $308K5%5%0
$313K - $318K15%16%+1
$318K - $323K36%31%−5
$323K - $327K27%26%−1
$327K+18%18%0
AI analysts' average · <$303K
2%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 305 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)
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