MarketsWorld
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 optionsResearch 6h ago
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 68%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 29%Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate 2%Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate 2%
4 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
4 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate68%60%−8
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate29%33%+4
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%4%+2
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2%3%+1
AI analysts' average · Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
4%
2 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts
Biggest gap
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: AI 60% vs market 68%, 8 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate11 · 0
3 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdfKellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Sign in to comment
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.