How do I trade on "Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 9 options

Google 81%Anthropic 18%OpenAI <1%SpaceXAI <1%

9 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Google81%+0.7 pts73%12 · 0

Anthropic18%+2.5 pts17%7 · 8

OpenAI<1%−0.4 pts1%none

SpaceXAI<1%+0.1 pts—none

Baidu———none

Xiaomi———none

Amazon———none

ByteDance———none

Thinky———none

9 options trading, by chance. +12 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Google81%73%−8

Anthropic18%17%−1

OpenAI<1%1%+1

SpaceXAI<1%——

Baidu———

Xiaomi———

+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Xiaomi

—

Biggest gap

Google: AI 73% vs market 81%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

20h
Xiaomi's REDMI K100 Pairs a Snapdragon Flagship With a Dedicated Gaming Chip, but Analysts Stay on t
AD HOC NEWS
21h
How ByteDance, Xiaomi and Ant Group are turning AI into commercial applications
The Asian Banker
21h
China AI researcher hits Xiaomi’s top tier in 10 months, talks work-life balance
South China Morning Post
23h
Xiaomi retires MiMo-V2.5 models as API service shifts to multimodal replacements
TechNode
1d
Xiaomi Open-Sources Xiaomi-Lens-0, a 4B Model That Points to Image Regions Pixel by Pixel
Pandaily
2d
Motorola Signature 27 vs Xiaomi 18 Pro Max: Same Chip, Same Sensor Size, Very Different Bets
Memeburn

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Anthropic157 · 8

Google1212 · 0

7 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 9 options

Google 81%Anthropic 18%OpenAI <1%SpaceXAI <1%

9 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Google81%+0.7 pts73%12 · 0

Anthropic18%+2.5 pts17%7 · 8

OpenAI<1%−0.4 pts1%none

SpaceXAI<1%+0.1 pts—none

Baidu———none

Xiaomi———none

Amazon———none

ByteDance———none

Thinky———none

9 options trading, by chance. +12 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Google81%73%−8

Anthropic18%17%−1

OpenAI<1%1%+1

SpaceXAI<1%——

Baidu———

Xiaomi———

+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Xiaomi

—

Biggest gap

Google: AI 73% vs market 81%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

20h
Xiaomi's REDMI K100 Pairs a Snapdragon Flagship With a Dedicated Gaming Chip, but Analysts Stay on t
AD HOC NEWS
21h
How ByteDance, Xiaomi and Ant Group are turning AI into commercial applications
The Asian Banker
21h
China AI researcher hits Xiaomi’s top tier in 10 months, talks work-life balance
South China Morning Post
23h
Xiaomi retires MiMo-V2.5 models as API service shifts to multimodal replacements
TechNode
1d
Xiaomi Open-Sources Xiaomi-Lens-0, a 4B Model That Points to Image Regions Pixel by Pixel
Pandaily
2d
Motorola Signature 27 vs Xiaomi 18 Pro Max: Same Chip, Same Sensor Size, Very Different Bets
Memeburn

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Anthropic157 · 8

Google1212 · 0

7 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Related Markets

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News