How do I trade on "Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Oct 28, 2026Research 8h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

OpenAI 61%Google 33%Tencent <1%Z.ai <1%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

OpenAI61%+15.5 pts49%2 · 1

Google33%−17.0 pts50%2 · 0

Tencent<1%—1%none

Z.ai<1%−1.0 pts2%none

Xiaomi<1%+0.1 pts1%none

Anthropic<1%−0.4 pts4%none

Meta<1%—1%none

xAI<1%+0.1 pts1%none

8 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

OpenAI61%49%−12

Google33%50%+17

Tencent<1%1%+1

Z.ai<1%2%+2

Xiaomi<1%1%+1

Anthropic<1%4%+4

+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Z.ai

2 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Google: AI 50% vs market 33%, 17 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

2d
Stripe will pay 7.5 billion dollars for the AI router OpenRouter
Startup Fortune
3d
Stripe will pay $7.5 billion for OpenRouter, the AI model traffic cop
Startup Fortune
4d
Stripe Agrees to Buy AI Model Router OpenRouter for $7.5 Billion
Startup Fortune

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

OpenAI32 · 1

Google22 · 0

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Oct 28, 2026Research 8h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

OpenAI 61%Google 33%Tencent <1%Z.ai <1%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

OpenAI61%+15.5 pts49%2 · 1

Google33%−17.0 pts50%2 · 0

Tencent<1%—1%none

Z.ai<1%−1.0 pts2%none

Xiaomi<1%+0.1 pts1%none

Anthropic<1%−0.4 pts4%none

Meta<1%—1%none

xAI<1%+0.1 pts1%none

8 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

OpenAI61%49%−12

Google33%50%+17

Tencent<1%1%+1

Z.ai<1%2%+2

Xiaomi<1%1%+1

Anthropic<1%4%+4

+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Z.ai

2 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Google: AI 50% vs market 33%, 17 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

2d
Stripe will pay 7.5 billion dollars for the AI router OpenRouter
Startup Fortune
3d
Stripe will pay $7.5 billion for OpenRouter, the AI model traffic cop
Startup Fortune
4d
Stripe Agrees to Buy AI Model Router OpenRouter for $7.5 Billion
Startup Fortune

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

OpenAI32 · 1

Google22 · 0

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

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#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

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