MarketsAI
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options8 closedResearch 3d ago
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8 closed options
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The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · OpenAI
61%
39 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes for OpenAI if it ranks third among AI labs, by the percentage in the Market Share chart (set to Percentage) on openrouter.ai/rankings for the week of October 19–25, 2026. 'stealth' and 'others' are skipped. Ties go to the larger absolute token count, then to the name first alphabetically. The market resolves once the week of October 26 figures first appear, or at 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026 if they have not appeared by then. It resolves 'Other' if no data exists for the week.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
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