MarketsSports
Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options26 closedResearch 2d ago
Creator-reported score
This captured game score is the creator’s evidence. The market verdict is shown separately.
Loading data...
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · Lamine Yamal
66%
34 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Lamine Yamal finishes 3rd in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking, and No otherwise.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sign in to comment
