Skip to content
MarketsSports

Ballon d'Or 2026: 3rd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Resolved0 options26 closedResearch 2d ago

ResolvedYesJan 1, 2027, 12:59 UTC

The verdict

Yes won

Settled Jan 1, 2027

Creator-reported score

This captured game score is the creator’s evidence. The market verdict is shown separately.

Loading data...

Polymarket chance · top 0 of 0 options

0 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
26 closed options
Lamine Yamal>99%+0.4 pts66%—
Kylian Mbappé<1%−0.3 pts14%—
Harry Kane<1%−0.1 pts8%—
Rodri<1%−0.3 pts4%—
Lionel Messi<1%−0.3 pts5%—
Fabian Ruiz<1%—2%—
Erling Haaland<1%—1%—
Lautaro Martinez<1%—1%—
Pau Cubarsi————
Jude Bellingham————
Vinícius Júnior————
Vitinha————
Achraf Hakimi————
Bruno Fernandes————
Luis Diaz————
Marc Cucurella————
Gabriel Magalhães————
Sadio Mané————
Marquinhos————
Nuno Mendes————
João Neves————
Julián Quiñones————
William Saliba————
Ferran Torres————
Dayot Upamecano————

0 options trading, by chance. +30 more on Polymarket

The calls

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

AI analysts' average · Lamine Yamal

66%

34 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
Resolves Yes if Lamine Yamal finishes 3rd in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking, and No otherwise.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment