MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options17 closedResearch 7d ago
0 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
17 closed options
0 options trading. +19 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 260-279
80%
20 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if the xtracker.The source market 'Post Counter' for @elonmusk (main feed posts, quote posts and reposts; replies excluded) shows 260-279 posts from 2026-10-16 12:00 PM ET to 2026-10-23 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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