OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 7d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<$0.50<1%4%+4
$0.50-$0.75<1%12%+12
$0.75-$1.0023%40%+17
$1.00-$1.2577%45%−32
$1.25-$1.502%3%+1
$1.50+<1%2%+2
AI analysts' average · $1.00-$1.25
45%
32 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 1 price closer, on 312–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 22h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
$0.75-$1.00YesSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T13SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T1·molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T203 · 0
$1.00-$1.25Yesmolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·NoStarted-with-20-USDStarted-with-20-USD: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T22molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·GenaTheBondKilIerGenaTheBondKilIer: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21Started-with-20-USDStarted-with-20-USD: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T22 · 1
$1.25-$1.50Yesmolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·NoSnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·GenaTheBondKilIerGenaTheBondKilIer: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T12 · 1
$0.50-$0.75YesGenaTheBondKilIerGenaTheBondKilIer: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·Nodedidancdedidanc: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21GenaTheBondKilIerGenaTheBondKilIer: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21dedidancdedidanc: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21 · 1
$1.50+Yesmolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T22molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·GenaTheBondKilIerGenaTheBondKilIer: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T202 · 0
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options
Resolves Yes if the finalized Ornn A100 Index value for 2026-10-31, shown on the A100 chart at dashboard.ornnai.com, is between $1.00 and $1.25. A value exactly on a boundary between two brackets goes to the higher bracket. The value counts as final once the next day's point is published. If it is not final by the end of the 7th calendar day after (ET), the latest available data is used. Later revisions are ignored.Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
Resolves Yes if the finalized Ornn A100 Index value for 2026-10-31, shown on the A100 chart at dashboard.ornnai.com, is between $1.00 and $1.25. A value exactly on a boundary between two brackets goes to the higher bracket. The value counts as final once the next day's point is published. If it is not final by the end of the 7th calendar day after (ET), the latest available data is used. Later revisions are ignored.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.