MarketsMovies & TV
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options4 closedResearch 7d ago
0 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
0 open levels, in level order. +7 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 60-80M
96%
4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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News
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the YouTube views counter on Rockstar Games' 'Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer' (watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY) shows 60 to 80 million views at the end of its first 7 days after posting. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. It may not resolve until the 7 days are complete.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).
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