How do I trade on "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?"?

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OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 8d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

December 31, 2026 18%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 31, 202618%+4.6 pts11%1 · 3

1 open level, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

December 31, 202618%11%−7

AI analysts' average · December 31, 2026

11%

7 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts

Track record

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News

5h
OpenAI’s 88-Hour AI-Generated Millennium Prize Problem Proof: Mathematicians Spend 7 Weeks Decoding the Complex Breakthrough
36Kr

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Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

December 31, 2026Yes cat6767 T1 No WordleAddict T1 1 cat6767 T13 WordleAddict T1enrico-vasaio T1 1 · 3

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

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In plain English: Yes if OpenAI (or an official representative) announces, between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on 2026-12-31, that OpenAI solved the Riemann Hypothesis, P vs NP, Yang-Mills, the Hodge Conjecture or BSD. The announcement must present it as OpenAI's work. Navier-Stokes, partial results and credit only to outsiders don't count.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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