How do I trade on "Will Joe Burrow have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Pro Football: 2026-27 30+ Passing Touchdowns

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN26 levels openCloses Jan 27, 2027Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Matthew Stafford 54%Dak Prescott 50%Jordan Love 48%Aaron Rodgers 48%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

26 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Joe Burrow70%—55%none

Brock Purdy69%+2.5 pts69%none

Jared Goff69%—61%none

Trevor Lawrence62%−5.5 pts63%none

Bryce Young56%—59%none

Matthew Stafford54%−2.5 pts55%none

Dak Prescott50%−5.0 pts48%none

Jordan Love48%−4.5 pts38%none

Aaron Rodgers48%—49%none

Drake Maye44%+0.5 pts42%none

Tyler Shough34%−1.0 pts35%none

Patrick Mahomes26%+3.0 pts41%none

Josh Allen22%+1.5 pts25%none

C.J. Stroud19%—19%none

Bo Nix15%−0.9 pts7%none

Sam Darnold15%—14%none

Lamar Jackson15%+4.0 pts3%none

Cameron Ward10%—6%none

Baker Mayfield10%−0.1 pts10%none

Justin Herbert9%—5%none

Caleb Williams8%—8%none

Jayden Daniels8%—2%none

Malik Willis8%—5%none

Jalen Hurts5%—6%none

Jaxson Dart2%—2%0 · 1

Fernando Mendoza2%—2%0 · 1

26 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Joe Burrow70%55%−15

Brock Purdy69%69%0

Jared Goff69%61%−8

Trevor Lawrence62%63%+1

Bryce Young56%59%+3

Matthew Stafford54%55%+1

+20 more options

AI analysts' average · Joe Burrow

55%

15 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

2d
Joe Burrow's Top Plays From Week 7 Against Ravens | 2026 HIGHLIGHTS
Cincinnati Bengals
2d
Instant Takeaways: Joe Burrow Leads Bengals' Second-Half Rally in Dominant Win Over Ravens
Sports Illustrated
2d
Burrow's 13-yard TD Toss To Higgins Ties Game At 13 | 2026 HIGHLIGHTS
Cincinnati Bengals
5d
Bengals’ Joe Burrow trails only Aaron Rodgers in road touchdown stat
Yahoo Sports
6d
October 25, 2026: Baltimore vs Cincinnati: Passing Touchdowns Prediction Market
Robinhood

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 14m ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Jaxson DartNo ndb1 T201 ndb1 T20 · 1

Fernando MendozaNo ndb1 T201 ndb1 T20 · 1

24 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 26 options

Joe Burrow resolves Yes if his official NFL regular-season passing touchdowns for 2026-27 total 30 or more. Otherwise it resolves No, including if he does not play in the regular season. Playoff games don't count. If the season is shortened, completed games decide. If it is cancelled, postponed after Jan 26, 2027 11:59 PM ET, or the total can't be determined, it resolves 50-50. The source is official NFL data, with credible reporting as a fallback. Trading ends 2027-01-27 04:59 UTC.Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Joe Burrow resolves Yes if his official NFL regular-season passing touchdowns for 2026-27 total 30 or more. Otherwise it resolves No, including if he does not play in the regular season. Playoff games don't count. If the season is shortened, completed games decide. If it is cancelled, postponed after Jan 26, 2027 11:59 PM ET, or the total can't be determined, it resolves 50-50. The source is official NFL data, with credible reporting as a fallback. Trading ends 2027-01-27 04:59 UTC.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve