MarketsAI
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN6 optionsResearch 2d ago
No IPO before January 2027 98%$60B-$70B <1%$50B-$60B <1%$70B-$80B <1%
6 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
6 open levels, in level order. +3 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<$40B<1%1%+1
$50B-$60B<1%1%+1
$60B-$70B<1%1%+1
$70B-$80B<1%1%+1
$100B-$125B<1%1%+1
No IPO before January 202798%91%−7
AI analysts' average · No IPO before January 2027
91%
7 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 1 price closer, on 312–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
No IPO before January 2027Yes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1KimchiCapitalKimchiCapital: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
$50B-$60BNo vimtodcsvimtodcs: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 vimtodcsvimtodcs: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
$70B-$80BNo vimtodcsvimtodcs: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 vimtodcsvimtodcs: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
3 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves on SB Energy's market capitalization at the official closing price on its first day of trading, computed as total outstanding shares (all classes, with stated conversion ratios applied) times that closing price. The option's bracket must contain the value, and a value exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, 'No IPO before January 2027' resolves Yes and all bracket markets resolve No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
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