Skip to content

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openResearch 1d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

October 31 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
October 313%−0.1 pts4%none

1 open level, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
October 313%4%+1

AI analysts' average · October 31

4%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 30m ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
Resolves Yes if Situational Awareness (LP) announces, or consensus credible reporting confirms, that it received new outside investor capital (from existing or new investors) by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Capital from the firm, its principals or employees doesn't count. Only capital actually funded counts, not plans, soft commitments or unfunded subscriptions. Otherwise No.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment