Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN3 optionsResearch 11h ago
Chiang Wan-an 66%Puma Shen 33%
3 options · by chance
3 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Chiang Wan-an
5 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 360–394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Chiang Wan-an's market resolves Yes if Chiang Wan-an becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of the November 28, 2026 local elections. It resolves No if another candidate wins. Interim or placeholder mayors don't count. The result is taken from a consensus of credible reporting. If that is ambiguous, it is taken from the Central Election Commission (db.cec.gov.tw). If no result is known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
