MarketsBusiness
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN14 levels open1 closedResearch 3d ago
↑ $224 39%↓ $208 13%↑ $232 10%↑ $240 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
14 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
14 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $2801%1%0
↑ $2723%1%−2
↑ $2643%2%−1
↑ $2562%2%0
↑ $2483%2%−1
↑ $2403%3%0
+8 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ $216
66%
33 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↓ $208Yes CleanCoinFlipCleanCoinFlip: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CleanCoinFlipCleanCoinFlip: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
↑ $264No 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↑ $224No LiquidifierLiquidifier: Tier 2, #24 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 LiquidifierLiquidifier: Tier 2, #24 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↓ $200Yes CleanCoinFlipCleanCoinFlip: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CleanCoinFlipCleanCoinFlip: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
10 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↑ $216 resolves Yes if any 1-minute NVDA candle on Pyth has a High at or above the listed price during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) at any point in October 2026. Otherwise it resolves No. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. Prices are used exactly as Pyth publishes them, with split adjustment if a split occurs.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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