How do I trade on "Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN6 optionsCloses Jan 11, 2027

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 6 options

$318K - $323K 26%$313K - $318K 26%$323K - $327K 25%$327K+ 24%

6 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<$303K2%−0.4 pts2%—

$303K - $308K5%−1.2 pts5%—

$313K - $318K26%+11.0 pts16%—

$318K - $323K26%−8.8 pts33%—

$323K - $327K25%−3.5 pts25%—

$327K+24%+6.0 pts18%—

6 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<$303K2%2%0

$303K - $308K5%5%0

$313K - $318K26%16%−10

$318K - $323K26%33%+7

$323K - $327K25%25%0

$327K+24%18%−6

AI analysts' average · $318K - $323K

33%

7 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)

How markets resolve