How do I trade on "Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $320M?"?

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Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 levels openCloses Dec 3, 2026Research 3d ago

Polymarket chance · the 2 levels nearest 50%

$320M 84%$440M 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

2 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

$320M84%—90%none

$440M11%+0.5 pts8%none

2 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

$320M84%90%+6

$440M11%8%−3

AI analysts' average · $320M

90%

6 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolves Yes if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for fiscal Q3 2027 (quarter ending October 31, 2026), as reported in its official earnings materials, is above $320M. Otherwise it resolves No. That includes the case where the metric is not reported, or where no Q3 earnings materials are released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A reported range is resolved at its midpoint, the most precise reported figure is used, and later revisions are ignored.Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Resolves Yes if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for fiscal Q3 2027 (quarter ending October 31, 2026), as reported in its official earnings materials, is above $320M. Otherwise it resolves No. That includes the case where the metric is not reported, or where no Q3 earnings materials are released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A reported range is resolved at its midpoint, the most precise reported figure is used, and later revisions are ignored.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if CrowdStrike's net new ARR for the third fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is CrowdStrike's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

How markets resolve