P&L: Polymarket's own P&L for this account, all markets.Plus
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By segmentPlus
Open positions on Kellian markets
| Market | Side | Shares | Value | Entry | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 65,504 | $63,965 | 84¢ | 98¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 61,021 | $60,075 | 52¢ | 98¢ |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 58,188 | $57,344 | 53¢ | 99¢ |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 26,783 | $25,417 | 22¢ | 95¢ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 10,000 | $9,250 | 83¢ | 93¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 9,063 | $8,202 | 80¢ | 91¢ |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5,000 | $4,843 | 93¢ | 97¢ |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 3,574 | $3,497 | 85¢ | 98¢ |
Recent movesPlus
Trading stylePlus
Markouts: How far the price moved after this trader's buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢), from the price they paid. 10M: median of their taker buys. 1D and 1W: size-weighted average of all their buys. Last 3 months.Plus
How far the price moved after their buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢): +2 pts at 1 day means the price was 2¢ above what they paid a day later. Above zero is their way.
Weekly P&L: Profit and loss of the whole account for each complete week (Monday to Sunday, UTC), with open positions at market price.Plus
Their profit or loss in dollars in each week: a column above zero is a week they made money, below zero a week they lost.
Calibration: How often their positions paid out, compared with the price they paid. Markets settled in the last 3 months.Plus
When they paid 30¢, did those positions pay out about 30% of the time? Each dot is price paid against how often it paid out; above the diagonal means more often than the price said.