Traders

Counts updated 21h ago19 markets with 3 or more top traders holdingSorted by how far the traders' lean is from the price

MarketSegmentTop tradersChanceTraders' leanGapAI analystsCloses

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?AI rankings · top 227 Yes · 1 No39%88% Yes+4939%77d

Who holds it: 8 of the top 22 AI rankings traders

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?AI releases · top 490 Yes · 4 No93%100% No-9393%258d

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 224 Yes · 1 No6%80% Yes+747%16d

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 229 Yes · 0 No70%100% Yes+3068%16d

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 504 Yes · 2 No23%67% Yes+4421%77d

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 503 Yes · 0 No32%100% Yes+6832%16d

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 221 Yes · 2 No94%67% No-6193%16d

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 493 Yes · 9 No8%75% No+1811%16d

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 494 Yes · 5 No26%56% No+1927%16d

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?AI (all) · top 502 Yes · 1 No13%67% Yes+5413%77d

Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 503 Yes · 0 No66%100% Yes+3563%16d

Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 492 Yes · 1 No96%67% Yes-2989%16d

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 4912 Yes · 1 No87%92% Yes+683%16d

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?AI (all) · top 502 Yes · 2 No38%50% Yes+1234%77d

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?AI (all) · top 501 Yes · 2 No18%67% No+1613%77d

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?AI rankings · top 221 Yes · 2 No47%67% No-1443%46d

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?AI, other · top 121 Yes · 4 No15%80% No+612%77d

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?AI, other · top 123 Yes · 1 No77%75% Yes-280%77d

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?AI releases · top 491 Yes · 2 No31%67% No+232%77d