MarketsAI
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN16 levels openResearch 1h ago
Sacramento, CA 20%Detroit, MI 16%Portland, OR 9%Baltimore, MD 8%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
16 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
16 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Denver, CO95%95%0
Las Vegas, NV94%90%−4
Sacramento, CA20%19%−1
Detroit, MI16%18%+2
Portland, OR9%4%−5
Baltimore, MD8%7%−1
+10 more options
AI analysts' average · Tokyo, Japan
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Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Sacramento, CA10 · 1
Chicago, IL10 · 1
Philadelphia, PA10 · 1
11 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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