How do I trade on "Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sacramento, CA 18%Detroit, MI 13%Baltimore, MD 11%Portland, OR 9%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Denver, CO94%−1.1 pts94%none

Las Vegas, NV93%+1.5 pts90%none

Sacramento, CA18%−3.0 pts20%0 · 1

Detroit, MI13%−0.5 pts22%none

Baltimore, MD11%+6.3 pts5%none

Portland, OR9%—3%none

Seattle, WA9%+0.5 pts3%none

Chicago, IL7%—2%0 · 1

Washington, DC6%+0.5 pts5%none

Boston, MA6%+0.7 pts3%none

Philadelphia, PA6%—4%0 · 1

Minneapolis, MN5%—5%none

New Orleans, LA5%−2.0 pts5%none

Pittsburgh, PA5%−1.5 pts4%none

14 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Denver, CO94%94%0

Las Vegas, NV93%90%−3

Sacramento, CA18%20%+2

Detroit, MI13%22%+9

Baltimore, MD11%5%−6

Portland, OR9%3%−6

+8 more options

AI analysts' average · Sacramento, CA

20%

2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Detroit, MI: AI 22% vs market 13%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Sacramento, CA10 · 1

Chicago, IL10 · 1

Philadelphia, PA10 · 1

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sacramento, CA 18%Detroit, MI 13%Baltimore, MD 11%Portland, OR 9%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Denver, CO94%−1.1 pts94%none

Las Vegas, NV93%+1.5 pts90%none

Sacramento, CA18%−3.0 pts20%0 · 1

Detroit, MI13%−0.5 pts22%none

Baltimore, MD11%+6.3 pts5%none

Portland, OR9%—3%none

Seattle, WA9%+0.5 pts3%none

Chicago, IL7%—2%0 · 1

Washington, DC6%+0.5 pts5%none

Boston, MA6%+0.7 pts3%none

Philadelphia, PA6%—4%0 · 1

Minneapolis, MN5%—5%none

New Orleans, LA5%−2.0 pts5%none

Pittsburgh, PA5%−1.5 pts4%none

14 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Denver, CO94%94%0

Las Vegas, NV93%90%−3

Sacramento, CA18%20%+2

Detroit, MI13%22%+9

Baltimore, MD11%5%−6

Portland, OR9%3%−6

+8 more options

AI analysts' average · Sacramento, CA

20%

2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Detroit, MI: AI 22% vs market 13%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Sacramento, CA10 · 1

Chicago, IL10 · 1

Philadelphia, PA10 · 1

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Related Markets

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts