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Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sacramento, CA 18%Detroit, MI 13%Baltimore, MD 11%Portland, OR 9%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Denver, CO94%−1.0 pts94%none
Las Vegas, NV93%+1.5 pts90%none
Sacramento, CA18%−3.0 pts20%0 · 1
Detroit, MI13%−0.5 pts22%none
Baltimore, MD11%+6.3 pts5%none
Portland, OR9%—3%none
Seattle, WA9%+0.5 pts3%none
Chicago, IL8%+0.5 pts2%0 · 1
Washington, DC6%+0.5 pts5%none
Boston, MA6%+0.7 pts3%none
Philadelphia, PA6%—4%0 · 1
Minneapolis, MN5%—5%none
New Orleans, LA5%−2.0 pts5%none
Pittsburgh, PA5%−1.5 pts4%none

14 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Denver, CO94%94%0
Las Vegas, NV93%90%−3
Sacramento, CA18%20%+2
Detroit, MI13%22%+9
Baltimore, MD11%5%−6
Portland, OR9%3%−6
+8 more options

AI analysts' average · Baltimore, MD

5%

6 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Detroit, MI: AI 22% vs market 13%, 9 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Sacramento, CA10 · 1
Chicago, IL10 · 1
Philadelphia, PA10 · 1

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Baltimore, MD · Buy YesOption 5 of 14

Polymarket price · live

Yes13¢
No91¢
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Before you decide · Baltimore, MD

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts5% · 6 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.