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Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Dune: Part Three 67%Disclosure Day 63%Project Hail Mary 57%Behemoth! 29%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

13 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
The Odyssey94%—92%none
The Black Ball80%+10.0 pts66%none
Dune: Part Three67%+3.0 pts60%1 · 0
Disclosure Day63%−10.5 pts76%none
Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1
Behemoth!29%+0.5 pts22%1 · 1
Wild Horse Nine27%−4.5 pts33%0 · 2
You Can See Everything17%−3.5 pts9%none
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—20%1 · 1
Whalefall7%−0.1 pts5%0 · 1
The Social Reckoning7%+0.5 pts6%0 · 1
The Drama5%+0.2 pts4%none
The Mandalorian and Grogu3%—6%0 · 1

13 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Odyssey94%92%−2
The Black Ball80%66%−14
Dune: Part Three67%60%−7
Disclosure Day63%76%+13
Project Hail Mary57%55%−2
Behemoth!29%22%−7
+7 more options

AI analysts' average · The Mandalorian and Grogu

6%

3 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

The Black Ball: AI 66% vs market 80%, 14 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 2d
    Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Mid-October Charts and Dissection of the Race
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 3d
    A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
    Matthew Huff | Substack
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 56m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Behemoth!21 · 1
Wild Horse Nine20 · 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1
Dune: Part Three11 · 0
Project Hail Mary10 · 1
Whalefall10 · 1
The Social Reckoning10 · 1
The Mandalorian and Grogu10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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The Mandalorian and Grogu · Buy YesOption 13 of 13

Polymarket price · live

Yes3¢
No98¢
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Before you decide · The Mandalorian and Grogu

  • News0 today · latest 2d
  • AI analysts6% · 3 pts above
  • Tiers 1–20 Yes · 1 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.