How do I trade on "Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Disclosure Day 71%Dune: Part Three 67%Project Hail Mary 57%The Black Ball 54%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

13 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey94%—92%none

Disclosure Day71%+1.0 pts76%0 · 1

Dune: Part Three67%+3.5 pts60%1 · 0

Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1

The Black Ball54%−12.0 pts66%none

Behemoth!29%+0.5 pts22%1 · 1

Wild Horse Nine27%−4.0 pts33%0 · 2

You Can See Everything17%−3.5 pts9%none

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—20%1 · 1

Whalefall7%−0.3 pts5%0 · 1

The Social Reckoning7%—6%0 · 1

The Drama5%+0.4 pts4%none

The Mandalorian and Grogu3%—6%0 · 1

13 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey94%92%−2

Disclosure Day71%76%+5

Dune: Part Three67%60%−7

Project Hail Mary57%55%−2

The Black Ball54%66%+12

Behemoth!29%22%−7

+7 more options

AI analysts' average · The Mandalorian and Grogu

3 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

The Black Ball: AI 66% vs market 54%, 12 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

2d
Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Mid-October Charts and Dissection of the Race
The Hollywood Reporter
3d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Behemoth!21 · 1

Wild Horse Nine20 · 2

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1

Disclosure Day10 · 1

Dune: Part Three11 · 0

Project Hail Mary10 · 1

Whalefall10 · 1

The Social Reckoning10 · 1

The Mandalorian and Grogu10 · 1

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Disclosure Day 71%Dune: Part Three 67%Project Hail Mary 57%The Black Ball 54%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

13 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey94%—92%none

Disclosure Day71%+1.0 pts76%0 · 1

Dune: Part Three67%+3.5 pts60%1 · 0

Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1

The Black Ball54%−12.0 pts66%none

Behemoth!29%+0.5 pts22%1 · 1

Wild Horse Nine27%−4.0 pts33%0 · 2

You Can See Everything17%−3.5 pts9%none

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—20%1 · 1

Whalefall7%−0.3 pts5%0 · 1

The Social Reckoning7%—6%0 · 1

The Drama5%+0.4 pts4%none

The Mandalorian and Grogu3%—6%0 · 1

13 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey94%92%−2

Disclosure Day71%76%+5

Dune: Part Three67%60%−7

Project Hail Mary57%55%−2

The Black Ball54%66%+12

Behemoth!29%22%−7

+7 more options

AI analysts' average · The Mandalorian and Grogu

3 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

The Black Ball: AI 66% vs market 54%, 12 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

2d
Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Mid-October Charts and Dissection of the Race
The Hollywood Reporter
3d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Behemoth!21 · 1

Wild Horse Nine20 · 2

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1

Disclosure Day10 · 1

Dune: Part Three11 · 0

Project Hail Mary10 · 1

Whalefall10 · 1

The Social Reckoning10 · 1

The Mandalorian and Grogu10 · 1

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

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