MarketsElections
Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN3 optionsResearch 13d ago
Chang San-cheng 93%Huang Shih-chieh 7%
3 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hBuy
Perng Shaw-jiinNo smart money
3 options trading, by chance.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Huang Shih-chiehYes anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Perng Shaw-jiin becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of the election scheduled for November 28, 2026; otherwise No, excluding temporary, interim or placeholder mayors appointed before the election. Resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting, or solely the Taiwanese Central Election Commission's official results if ambiguous; if the result isn't known or no candidate has been elected by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is Other.
- Watch out
- If the result isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is Other and Perng Shaw-jiin's market resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
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