How do I trade on "Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 optionsCloses Oct 27, 2026Research 6h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 19 options

Harry Kane 76%Lamine Yamal 16%Kylian Mbappé 7%Lionel Messi 1%

19 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Harry Kane76%−0.9 pts67%3 · 0

Lamine Yamal16%−1.2 pts23%3 · 0

Kylian Mbappé7%+3.1 pts6%4 · 0

Lionel Messi1%−0.4 pts2%3 · 0

Rodri<1%−0.1 pts2%2 · 0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%—3%2 · 0

Ousmane Dembélé<1%—1%2 · 1

Fabian Ruiz<1%—2%1 · 0

Erling Haaland<1%+0.1 pts4%2 · 0

Jude Bellingham<1%——none

Vinícius Júnior<1%——none

Michael Olise<1%—1%3 · 0

Declan Rice<1%—1%none

Vitinha<1%——1 · 0

Achraf Hakimi<1%——none

Bruno Fernandes<1%——none

Luis Diaz<1%—1%none

Lautaro Martinez<1%——none

Pau Cubarsi<1%——none

19 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 6h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Harry Kane76%67%−9

Lamine Yamal16%23%+7

Kylian Mbappé7%6%−1

Lionel Messi1%2%+1

Rodri<1%2%+2

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%3%+3

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Achraf Hakimi

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

1d
Hakimi after 4-2 win over Barcelona: I hope the Ballon d'Or goes to someone from PSG
Gazeta Express
6d
Achraf Hakimi enters the "Ballon d'Or" debate with a diplomatic statement
Goal.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 19h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Kylian Mbappé44 · 0

Harry Kane33 · 0

Lamine Yamal33 · 0

Lionel Messi33 · 0

Ousmane Dembélé32 · 1

Michael Olise33 · 0

Rodri22 · 0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22 · 0

Erling Haaland22 · 0

Fabian Ruiz11 · 0

Vitinha11 · 0

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

How markets resolve

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 optionsCloses Oct 27, 2026Research 6h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 19 options

Harry Kane 76%Lamine Yamal 16%Kylian Mbappé 7%Lionel Messi 1%

19 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Harry Kane76%−0.9 pts67%3 · 0

Lamine Yamal16%−1.2 pts23%3 · 0

Kylian Mbappé7%+3.1 pts6%4 · 0

Lionel Messi1%−0.4 pts2%3 · 0

Rodri<1%−0.1 pts2%2 · 0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%—3%2 · 0

Ousmane Dembélé<1%—1%2 · 1

Fabian Ruiz<1%—2%1 · 0

Erling Haaland<1%+0.1 pts4%2 · 0

Jude Bellingham<1%——none

Vinícius Júnior<1%——none

Michael Olise<1%—1%3 · 0

Declan Rice<1%—1%none

Vitinha<1%——1 · 0

Achraf Hakimi<1%——none

Bruno Fernandes<1%——none

Luis Diaz<1%—1%none

Lautaro Martinez<1%——none

Pau Cubarsi<1%——none

19 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 6h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Harry Kane76%67%−9

Lamine Yamal16%23%+7

Kylian Mbappé7%6%−1

Lionel Messi1%2%+1

Rodri<1%2%+2

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%3%+3

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Achraf Hakimi

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

1d
Hakimi after 4-2 win over Barcelona: I hope the Ballon d'Or goes to someone from PSG
Gazeta Express
6d
Achraf Hakimi enters the "Ballon d'Or" debate with a diplomatic statement
Goal.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 19h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Kylian Mbappé44 · 0

Harry Kane33 · 0

Lamine Yamal33 · 0

Lionel Messi33 · 0

Ousmane Dembélé32 · 1

Michael Olise33 · 0

Rodri22 · 0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22 · 0

Erling Haaland22 · 0

Fabian Ruiz11 · 0

Vitinha11 · 0

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

How markets resolve

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Related Markets

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

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