MarketsSports
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN19 optionsResearch 1h ago
Harry Kane 76%Lamine Yamal 17%Kylian Mbappé 4%Lionel Messi 2%
19 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Harry Kane76%67%−9
Lamine Yamal17%23%+6
Kylian Mbappé4%4%0
Lionel Messi2%2%0
Rodri<1%2%+2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%1%+1
+13 more options
AI analysts' average · Fabian Ruiz
1%
1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Harry Kane: AI 67% vs market 76%, 9 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Kylian Mbappé44 · 0
Harry Kane33 · 0
Lamine Yamal33 · 0
Rodri22 · 0
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
