MarketsCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN30 levels openResearch 2d ago
↓ 70,000 45%↑ 90,000 29%↓ 65,000 26%↓ 60,000 18%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
30 levels open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
30 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 1,000,000<1%1%+1
↑ 500,000<1%1%+1
↑ 250,000<1%1%+1
↑ 200,000<1%1%0
↑ 190,000<1%1%0
↑ 180,0001%1%0
+24 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ 50,000
—
Your forecast on ↓ 50,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 100,000Yes ADIAKADIAK: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 ADIAKADIAK: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 · 4
↓ 60,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No BaderbetBaderbet: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1u3rhi32h7u3rhi32h7: Tier 2, #17 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 BaderbetBaderbet: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 · 4
↓ 55,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2BaderbetBaderbet: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 · 5
↓ 45,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 6 bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 6
↓ 50,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2BaderbetBaderbet: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 5
↓ 40,000Yes CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 6
↓ 65,000Yes max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 4
↑ 130,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2wttgwttg: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 · 2
↑ 120,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↑ 110,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↓ 70,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2InchoroiInchoroi: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↓ 35,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2CyclewinCyclewin: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↑ 90,000Yes W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1RealMaxNickRealMaxNick: Tier 2, #46 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 2
↓ 30,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T23 bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 3
↑ 180,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
↑ 150,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
↑ 140,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
↑ 95,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 max1vedmax1ved: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
↓ 25,000Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
↑ 170,000No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↑ 160,000No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↓ 20,000No W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Yes if Bitcoin dips to $50,000 or lower by December 31, 2026; otherwise No. The supplied rule does not specify a resolution source, qualifying price observation, opening date or cutoff timezone.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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