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MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN30 levels openResearch 2d ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ 70,000 45%↑ 90,000 29%↓ 65,000 26%↓ 60,000 18%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

30 levels open · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ 1,000,000<1%+0.1 pts1%none
↑ 500,000<1%—1%none
↑ 250,000<1%—1%none
↑ 200,000<1%−0.1 pts1%none
↑ 190,000<1%—1%none
↑ 180,0001%+0.1 pts1%1 · 2
↑ 170,0001%+0.1 pts1%0 · 1
↑ 160,0002%+0.1 pts—0 · 1
↑ 150,0002%——1 · 1
↑ 140,0003%——1 · 1
↑ 130,0003%+0.3 pts—3 · 2
↑ 120,0004%−0.6 pts5%2 · 3
↑ 110,0006%−1.0 pts9%2 · 3
↑ 100,00011%−1.0 pts—4 · 4
↑ 95,00016%−1.0 pts—1 · 1
↑ 90,00029%+1.0 pts—2 · 2
↓ 70,00045%−2.5 pts—2 · 3
↓ 65,00026%−2.0 pts—2 · 4
↓ 60,00018%——4 · 4
↓ 55,00013%+1.0 pts—3 · 5
↓ 50,0009%——2 · 5
↓ 45,0004%−0.1 pts—2 · 6
↓ 40,0003%+0.2 pts—1 · 6
↓ 35,0003%+0.5 pts—2 · 3
↓ 30,0002%+0.1 pts—1 · 3
↓ 25,0002%+0.2 pts—1 · 1
↓ 20,000<1%+0.3 pts—0 · 1
↓ 15,000<1%—1%none
↓ 10,000<1%——none
↓ 5,000<1%—1%none

30 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 1,000,000<1%1%+1
↑ 500,000<1%1%+1
↑ 250,000<1%1%+1
↑ 200,000<1%1%0
↑ 190,000<1%1%0
↑ 180,0001%1%0
+24 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 95,000

—

Your forecast on ↑ 95,000

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 100,000Yes ADIAK T1 No bitterfish T1 4 ADIAK T1W1nner T2 4 bitterfish T1max1ved T1 4 · 4
↓ 60,000Yes KongX T1 No Baderbet T2 4 KongX T1u3rhi32h7 T2 4 Baderbet T2W1nner T2 4 · 4
↓ 55,000Yes KongX T1 No XRPisSH8T T2 3 KongX T1Dimpled-Foal T2 5 XRPisSH8T T2Baderbet T2 3 · 5
↓ 45,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No bitterfish T1 2 Dimpled-Foal T2Cyclewin T2 6 bitterfish T1XRPisSH8T T2 2 · 6
↓ 50,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No XRPisSH8T T2 2 Dimpled-Foal T2Cyclewin T2 5 XRPisSH8T T2Baderbet T2 2 · 5
↓ 40,000Yes Cyclewin T2 No bitterfish T1 1 Cyclewin T26 bitterfish T1XRPisSH8T T2 1 · 6
↓ 65,000Yes max1ved T1 No W1nner T2 2 max1ved T1Cyclewin T2 4 W1nner T2Dimpled-Foal T2 2 · 4
↑ 130,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No XRPisSH8T T2 3 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1Dimpled-Foal T2 2 XRPisSH8T T2wttg T2 3 · 2
↑ 120,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No XRPisSH8T T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1Dimpled-Foal T2 3 XRPisSH8T T2W1nner T2 2 · 3
↑ 110,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No bitterfish T1 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1W1nner T2 3 bitterfish T1XRPisSH8T T2 2 · 3
↓ 70,000Yes KongX T1 No Dimpled-Foal T2 2 KongX T1max1ved T1 3 Dimpled-Foal T2Inchoroi T2 2 · 3
↓ 35,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No XRPisSH8T T2 2 Dimpled-Foal T2Cyclewin T2 3 XRPisSH8T T2W1nner T2 2 · 3
↑ 90,000Yes W1nner T2 No max1ved T1 2 W1nner T2Dimpled-Foal T2 2 max1ved T1RealMaxNick T2 2 · 2
↓ 30,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No bitterfish T1 1 Dimpled-Foal T23 bitterfish T1XRPisSH8T T2 1 · 3
↑ 180,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No XRPisSH8T T2 1 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T12 XRPisSH8T T2W1nner T2 1 · 2
↑ 150,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No XRPisSH8T T21 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T11 XRPisSH8T T21 · 1
↑ 140,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T1 No XRPisSH8T T21 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F T11 XRPisSH8T T21 · 1
↑ 95,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No max1ved T11 Dimpled-Foal T21 max1ved T11 · 1
↓ 25,000Yes Dimpled-Foal T2 No W1nner T21 Dimpled-Foal T21 W1nner T21 · 1
↑ 170,000No XRPisSH8T T201 XRPisSH8T T20 · 1
↑ 160,000No XRPisSH8T T201 XRPisSH8T T20 · 1
↓ 20,000No W1nner T201 W1nner T20 · 1

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
For the upward option ↑ 95,000, Yes means Bitcoin reaches the option's dollar threshold by December 31, 2026; otherwise No. The supplied rule says only 'What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?' and does not specify a resolution source, qualifying price observation, opening date or cutoff timezone.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How markets resolve
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