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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Nicolás Maduro 77%Delcy Rodríguez 18%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Nicolás Maduro77%+3.5 pts31%4 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez18%+0.5 pts43%3 · 0

2 options trading, by chance. +14 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Nicolás Maduro77%31%−46
Delcy Rodríguez18%43%+25

AI analysts' average · Delcy Rodríguez

43%

25 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Nicolás Maduro: AI 31% vs market 77%, 46 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 5h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Nicolás Maduro64 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez33 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Delcy Rodríguez · Buy YesOption 2 of 2

Polymarket price · live

Yes19¢
No83¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Delcy Rodríguez

  • News1 today · latest 14h
  • AI analysts43% · 25 pts above
  • Tiers 1–23 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.