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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Resolved22 options8 closed

ResolvedNoNov 14, 2026, 00:00 EST

The verdict

No won

Settled Nov 14, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 22 options

240-259 27%220-239 26%260-279 19%200-219 16%

22 options

Option24hAI analystsBuy
160-179Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
180-199Smart money6 Yes0 No3%2.73%
200-219Smart money4 Yes0 No16%14.810%
220-239Smart money1 Yes0 No26%20.922%
240-259Smart money1 Yes0 No27%15.728%
260-279Smart money1 Yes0 No19%0.519%
280-299Smart money2 Yes0 No9%13.510%
300-319Smart money2 Yes0 No3%15.25%
320-339Smart money4 Yes1 No1%9.12%
340-359Smart money4 Yes1 No<1%3.81%
360-379Smart money4 Yes0 No<1%2.71%
380-399Smart money5 Yes0 No<1%1.71%
400-419Smart money4 Yes0 No<1%0.81%
420-439Smart money3 Yes0 No<1%0.61%
440-459Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.31%
460-479Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.21%
480-499Smart money3 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
500-519Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
520-539Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
540-559Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
560-579Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%0.11%
580+Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
8 closed options
<20<1%1%
20-39<1%1%
40-59<1%1%
60-79<1%0.11%
80-99<1%0.01%
100-119<1%0.01%
120-139<1%0.01%
140-159<1%0.01%

22 options trading. +8 more on Polymarket

The calls

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
160-179<1%1%+1
180-1993%3%0
200-21916%10%−6
220-23926%22%−4
240-25927%28%+1
260-27919%19%0
+16 more options

AI analysts' average · 80-99

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Your forecast on 80-99

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 30 options

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
How markets resolve
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