MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN22 options8 closed
240-259 27%220-239 26%260-279 19%200-219 16%
22 options
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsBuy
8 closed options
22 options trading. +8 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
160-179<1%1%+1
180-1993%3%0
200-21916%10%−6
220-23926%22%−4
240-25927%28%+1
260-27919%19%0
+16 more options
AI analysts' average · 220-239
22%
4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 787 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Your forecast on 220-239
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
180-199Yes ElonurmomElonurmom: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 6 ElonurmomElonurmom: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 06 · 0
320-339Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T24 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T24 · 1
340-359Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T24 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 blisniblisni: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T24 · 1
380-399Yes mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 05 · 0
200-219Yes ElonurmomElonurmom: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 ElonurmomElonurmom: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1filaretoufilaretou: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 04 · 0
360-379Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 04 · 0
400-419Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 04 · 0
420-439Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 03 · 0
480-499Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1mcsgmcsg: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 03 · 0
160-179Yes 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa560x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa56: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
280-299Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2polenkpolenk: Tier 2, #29 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
300-319Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2polenkpolenk: Tier 2, #29 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
440-459Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
460-479Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
500-519Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
520-539Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ihrekunstihrekunst: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
220-239Yes liujing1991liujing1991: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 liujing1991liujing1991: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
240-259Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
260-279Yes sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sange111sange111: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
540-559Yes xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 xzsaxzsa: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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