MarketsBusiness
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN9 levels openResearch 10h ago
↓ $3,500 13%↑ $5,000 7%↓ $3,000 4%↓ $2,500 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
9 levels open · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
9 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $15,000<1%1%0
↑ $12,0001%1%0
↑ $10,0001%1%0
↑ $8,0002%1%−1
↑ $6,0003%2%−1
↑ $5,0007%9%+2
+3 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ $2,500
1%
2 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Biggest gap
↓ $3,500: AI 9% vs market 13%, 4 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↑ $5,00041 · 3
↑ $6,00020 · 2
↓ $3,50022 · 0
↑ $15,00010 · 1
↑ $12,00010 · 1
↑ $10,00010 · 1
↑ $8,00010 · 1
↓ $3,00011 · 0
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market’s creation will not be considered. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
