How do I trade on "Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 17 options

Kylian Mbappé 70%Lamine Yamal 15%Harry Kane 14%Lionel Messi 2%

17 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Kylian Mbappé70%+2.0 pts52%none

Lamine Yamal15%+0.5 pts14%1 · 0

Harry Kane14%+0.5 pts27%none

Lionel Messi2%+0.1 pts6%none

Rodri<1%−1.1 pts9%none

Achraf Hakimi————

Bruno Fernandes————

Luis Diaz————

Lautaro Martinez————

Marc Cucurella————

Gabriel Magalhães————

Sadio Mané————

Marquinhos————

João Neves————

Willian Pacho————

Julián Quiñones————

Ferran Torres————

17 options trading, by chance. +13 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Kylian Mbappé70%52%−18

Lamine Yamal15%14%−1

Harry Kane14%27%+13

Lionel Messi2%6%+4

Rodri<1%9%+8

Achraf Hakimi———

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · Luis Diaz

—

Biggest gap

Kylian Mbappé: AI 52% vs market 70%, 18 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Lamine Yamal11 · 0

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 17 options

Kylian Mbappé 70%Lamine Yamal 15%Harry Kane 14%Lionel Messi 2%

17 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Kylian Mbappé70%+2.0 pts52%none

Lamine Yamal15%+0.5 pts14%1 · 0

Harry Kane14%+0.5 pts27%none

Lionel Messi2%+0.1 pts6%none

Rodri<1%−1.1 pts9%none

Achraf Hakimi————

Bruno Fernandes————

Luis Diaz————

Lautaro Martinez————

Marc Cucurella————

Gabriel Magalhães————

Sadio Mané————

Marquinhos————

João Neves————

Willian Pacho————

Julián Quiñones————

Ferran Torres————

17 options trading, by chance. +13 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Kylian Mbappé70%52%−18

Lamine Yamal15%14%−1

Harry Kane14%27%+13

Lionel Messi2%6%+4

Rodri<1%9%+8

Achraf Hakimi———

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · Luis Diaz

—

Biggest gap

Kylian Mbappé: AI 52% vs market 70%, 18 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Lamine Yamal11 · 0

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts