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Next leader out of power before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

None before 2027 47%Netanyahu - Israel PM 27%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
None before 202747%−3.5 pts46%2 · 1
Netanyahu - Israel PM27%—26%none

2 options trading, by chance. +20 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
None before 202747%46%−1
Netanyahu - Israel PM27%26%−1

AI analysts' average · None before 2027

46%

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

None before 2027: AI 46% vs market 47%, 1 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 5h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
None before 202732 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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None before 2027 · Buy YesOption 1 of 2

Polymarket price · live

Yes47¢
No54¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · None before 2027

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts46% · 1 pts below
  • Tiers 1–22 Yes · 1 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.