MarketsAI
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 1h ago
35% chance
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News
- match: IPO · OpenAI
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an IPO (its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized exchange) at any moment up to June 30, 2027 ET, per a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise No.
Latest
2026-06: OpenAI said it had confidentially submitted an S-1 registration statement to the SEC. It said it expected the filing to leak, so it announced it (Decrypt, TechRepublic, Forbes reports).
decrypt.co +12026-06: OpenAI said the filing is not a signal that an IPO is imminent. It said 'it may be a while because there are things we want to do that are likely easier as a private company', and it has set no IPO date (Decrypt).
decrypt.coEarlier reports (late 2025, per The Decoder and DealStreetAsia): OpenAI was preparing for an IPO at a valuation of up to about $1T. It was considering filing in the second half of 2026, and CFO Sarah Friar reportedly told colleagues the company plans to go public in 2027.
the-decoder.com +1
Full research
What decides it
Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an IPO (its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized exchange) at any moment up to June 30, 2027 ET, per a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise No. It resolves No immediately if a company that is already public acquires OpenAI.
Earlier
Earlier reports (late 2025): OpenAI executives were reportedly worried that Anthropic might list first. An OpenAI spokesperson said at the time, 'An IPO is not our priority'.
decrypt.co +3My searches found no public S-1 filing, no announced pricing date and no listing date for OpenAI. I did not find a primary SEC source.
decrypt.co +3
Research, not advice.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
