OpenAI IPO by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 3d ago
June 30, 2027 41%March 31, 2027 21%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
2 levels open
2 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · June 30, 2027
9 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 1 price closer, on 312–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an IPO, meaning its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized exchange, by June 30, 2027 ET. Confirmation comes from company announcements and a consensus of credible reporting. If OpenAI is acquired by an already-public company, the market resolves No. Otherwise it resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
