MarketsPolitics
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 1h ago
June 30, 2027 41%December 31 14%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
2 levels open · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
2 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
December 3114%10%−4
June 30, 202741%39%−2
AI analysts' average · June 30, 2027
39%
2 pts below the market · 5 AI analysts
Biggest gap
December 31: AI 10% vs market 14%, 4 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
