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Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 17 options

Google 56%Anthropic 41%OpenAI 3%Meta 2%

17 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Google56%+0.7 pts48%2 · 0
Anthropic41%−1.0 pts41%4 · 0
OpenAI3%−0.6 pts—1 · 0
Meta2%−0.1 pts—none
ByteDance<1%+0.3 pts—none
Moonshot<1%——none
Mistral<1%——none
Xiaomi<1%——none
Alibaba<1%+0.1 pts—none
SpaceXAI———none
Z.ai———none
Nvidia———none
Meituan———none
Amazon———none
Tencent———none
StepFun———none
Microsoft———none

17 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Google56%48%−8
Anthropic41%41%0
OpenAI3%——
Meta2%——
ByteDance<1%——
Moonshot<1%——
+11 more options

AI analysts' average · SpaceXAI

—

Biggest gap

Google: AI 48% vs market 56%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

  • 2d
    NYC Council Holds Follow-Up AI Safety Hearing on SpaceXAI
    BKReader
  • 2d
    Zetaris launches AI data harness with SpaceXAI tie-up
    IT Brief Asia
  • 6d
    SpaceXAI rep insists company doesn't release AI models that are unsafe
    Fox News
  • 6d
    SpaceXAI Updates Speech-to-Speech Model
    Slator
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Anthropic44 · 0
Google22 · 0
OpenAI11 · 0

14 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
How markets resolve
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SpaceXAI · Buy YesOption 10 of 17

Polymarket price · live

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Before you decide · SpaceXAI

  • News0 today · latest 2d
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

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