MarketsElections
TX-35 House Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 optionsResearch 4d ago
Johnny Garcia (D) 73%Carlos De La Cruz (R) 28%
2 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
2 options trading, by chance.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Johnny Garcia (D)Yes SnowLover7SnowLover7: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 SnowLover7SnowLover7: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1GaditimaGaditima: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
Carlos De La Cruz (R)Yes lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No SnowLover7SnowLover7: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 SnowLover7SnowLover7: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1GaditimaGaditima: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the party represented by Johnny Garcia (D) wins TX-35 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House election, and otherwise No, according to a consensus of credible reporting or, if ambiguous, solely official FEC results. Party affiliation is determined when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called, using ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation, or the latest expressed Democratic or Republican caucus intention for a candidate without either ballot affiliation.
- Watch out
- The winning party controls resolution, not the candidate name. Affiliation is assessed when all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
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