How do I trade on "Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN7 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

58%+ 51%60%+ 40%65%+ 14%70%+ 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

7 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

58%+51%+20.0 pts65%none

65%+14%+1.0 pts19%0 · 2

60%+40%−4.0 pts49%0 · 2

70%+11%−0.5 pts20%0 · 3

75%+10%—9%0 · 1

80%+6%−0.1 pts4%none

90%+5%—3%0 · 1

7 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

58%+51%65%+14

65%+14%19%+5

60%+40%49%+9

70%+11%20%+9

75%+10%9%−1

80%+6%4%−2

+1 more option

AI analysts' average · 58%+

65%

14 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

58%+: AI 65% vs market 51%, 14 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

70%+30 · 3

65%+20 · 2

60%+20 · 2

75%+10 · 1

90%+10 · 1

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN7 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

58%+ 51%60%+ 40%65%+ 14%70%+ 11%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

7 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

58%+51%+20.0 pts65%none

65%+14%+1.0 pts19%0 · 2

60%+40%−4.0 pts49%0 · 2

70%+11%−0.5 pts20%0 · 3

75%+10%—9%0 · 1

80%+6%−0.1 pts4%none

90%+5%—3%0 · 1

7 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

58%+51%65%+14

65%+14%19%+5

60%+40%49%+9

70%+11%20%+9

75%+10%9%−1

80%+6%4%−2

+1 more option

AI analysts' average · 58%+

65%

14 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

58%+: AI 65% vs market 51%, 14 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

70%+30 · 3

65%+20 · 2

60%+20 · 2

75%+10 · 1

90%+10 · 1

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

Related Markets

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 7 options

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