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OPENResearch 1h ago
14% chance
+0.9 pts 24hAI analysts 6% (7)The October 15 H100 reading of $3.13 requires a roughly 20–28% decline to enter this narrow bracket by October 31.
The October 15 H100 settlement of $3.13 would need to fall over 20% to enter this narrow bracket in sixteen days.
The reported October 15 H100 settlement of $3.13 requires a substantial decline to enter the narrow $2.25–$2.50 interval.
The October 15 H100 observation of $3.13 would need to decline more than 20% within sixteen days to enter the bracket.
The H100 index was $3.13 on Oct 15; a drop of more than 20% to under $2.50 in two weeks is very unlikely.
H100 at $3.13 on Oct 15, 25% above the bracket.
No index reading; provider H100 prices are rising, which argues against a low $2.25-2.50 print.
Resolves Yes if the finalized Ornn H100 Index value for Oct 31, 2026 (daily chart value at dashboard.ornnai.com, final once the next day's point is published) is between $2.25 and $2.50. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. If the value isn't finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after Oct 31 (ET), the latest available data is used.
The index is a volume-weighted, winsorized average of transacted H100 SXM rental prices. It settles once per trading day at 4:00 PM ET (data.ornn.com).
data.ornn.com +1I could not read the dashboard chart directly: the page loads its data dynamically. I have no history for Oct 2026 beyond the two points above.
data.ornn.com +3The H100 SXM settles at $3.13 per GPU-hour on the Ornn Compute Price Index (OCPI). This is about 25% above the top of the $2.25–2.50 bracket. (data.ornn.com, via search summary)
data.ornn.com +1The daily settlement was reported at $3.17, and the latest reported price at that time was $3.28 (search summary of news/KuCoin; the exact source isn't clear)
www.kucoin.comWhat to watch next The Oct 31, 2026 data point is finalized when the Nov 1 point is published.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
8 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.